Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
AGU
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
JUN
2 - 0
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
HUI
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JUN
4 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
JUN
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
HUI
3 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
SFE
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 1
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |