Águilas Doradas vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 1
AGU
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 1
AGU
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 0
AGU
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
ENV
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 0
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 1
JUN
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
ENV
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |