Águilas Doradas vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 3
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
AGU
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 3
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 3
ONC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
ENV
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 1
AGU
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |