Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 5-5
Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
EQU
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 1
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
HUI
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |