Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-2
Águilas Doradas vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
JUN
3 - 4
AGU
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
AGU
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
6 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAS
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
AGU
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
FOR
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |