Águilas Doradas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
4 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
AGU
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
CUC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
EQU
0 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 2
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
CUC
63%
21%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAS
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |