Águilas Doradas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
RAC
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 1
JAG
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
BUC
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
HUI
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
SFE
1 - 0
NAC
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 1
CAL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |