Águilas Doradas vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
AGU
49%
26%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 2
AGU
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 3
CAL
42%
29%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 2
NAC
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TOL
4 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |