Itabuna vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 8
NOV
37%
23%
40%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JEQ
2 - 1
ITA
18%
21%
61%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
93%
6%
2%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ABC
57%
24%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |