Itabuna vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 1
ITA
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 2
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
POC
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 4
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
FEI
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 1
CFC
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
GOI
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FLU
4 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRÊ
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |