Itabuna vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 1
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
7 - 0
CFC
88%
8%
3%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
0 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
IPI
0 - 2
VIT
13%
20%
66%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
17%
21%
61%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |