Itabuna vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
CFC
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 2
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 4
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAH
4 - 1
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
CFC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
2 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 2
BAH
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |