Itabuna vs Serrano SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
SDJ
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
YPI
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 2
JEQ
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
BAH
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
0 - 0
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
VIT
12%
20%
69%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |