Itabuna vs Madre de Deus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
CFC
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 2
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Madre de Deus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 0
IPI
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
4 - 3
CFC
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 1
MDE
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
MDE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
2 - 2
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |