Itabuna vs Ipitanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
4 - 0
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
4 - 1
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 0
MDE
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ipitanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MDE
1 - 2
IPI
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
3 - 3
MDE
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
4 - 1
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
1 - 2
VIT
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |