Itabuna vs Feirense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 0
ITA
48%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 3
ITA
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
JUA
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Feirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
4 - 2
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 4
FEI
54%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
BAH
31%
26%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
FEI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |