Itabuna vs Feirense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IPI
3 - 2
ITA
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
MDE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
CFC
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FEI
2 - 3
VIT
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
FEI
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
FEI
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 0
BAH
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |