Itabuna vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 0
ITA
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
ADA
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ITA
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
SDJ
67%
18%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
6 - 0
BAH
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 3
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ADA
0 - 1
BAH
6%
16%
78%
|
77 | 31 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 1
BAH
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |