Itabuna vs Colo Colo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
4 - 1
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 0
MDE
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MDE
2 - 0
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 1
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |