Itabuna vs Camaçari FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
FEI
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 0
ITA
48%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 3
ITA
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Camaçari FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
CFC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 4
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
5 - 1
CFC
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 3
BAH
14%
21%
66%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |