Itabuna vs Camaçari FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 2
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 4
VIT
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLU
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Camaçari FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CFC
0 - 2
VIT
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
5 - 1
CFC
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
2 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
7 - 0
CFC
88%
8%
3%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |