Itabuna vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 1
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
ALA
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 1
ITA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
BAH
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
4 - 0
BAH
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAH
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
6 - 1
JEC
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAH
54%
27%
19%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 2
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
BAH
26%
29%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |