Itaborai vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
ITA
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
AME
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRI
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 0
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAA
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
PAL
5 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
13%
25%
63%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |