Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Itabaiana vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
ITA
31%
29%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
ITA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
SDJ
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 2
ALT
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 1
TRE
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
ASA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 1
TRE
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |