Itabaiana vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
ITA
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
ITA
36%
28%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
ITA
39%
28%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TRE
4 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 1
BOT
21%
25%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CRB
2 - 1
TRE
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |