Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OSE
2 - 0
ITA
11%
21%
69%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 2
ADC
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
19%
27%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
AME
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATG
1 - 4
SER
16%
21%
64%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
BAH
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JAC
2 - 2
SER
54%
26%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
FFC
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |