Sergipano Final
Global 1-2
Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
32%
29%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |