Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
ITA
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 1
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 6
SER
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |