Itabaiana vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
71.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
OSE
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATP
22%
29%
49%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TCW
0 - 0
PAR
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAR
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 0
FOZ
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
OPE
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |