Itabaiana vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 2
BOC
62%
24%
15%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 3
ITA
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
JEC
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 2
OSE
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
0 - 0
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
1 - 1
DOR
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 2
OSE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
OSE
2 - 2
LAG
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |