Sergipano Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Itabaiana vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 0
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 4
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
ITA
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 0
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
ATG
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 1
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |