Itabaiana vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
CAM
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 0
OSE
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
FLU
21%
24%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 1
OSE
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |