Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Itabaiana vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
3 - 1
ITA
71%
20%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
FLU
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
ITA
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
3 - 1
ITA
71%
20%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
VIT
65%
21%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
ITU
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ITU
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAL
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |