Sergipano Playoffs Final
Global 2-2
Itabaiana vs Falcon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 1
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
AFP
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 1
ITA
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 2
CON
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SER
4 - 1
FFC
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
4 - 1
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 3
VOL
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |