Itabaiana vs Falcon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
CON
15%
23%
61%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 0
BOC
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FFC
0 - 1
ITA
21%
22%
56%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AFP
0 - 2
FFC
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FFC
4 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 3
FFC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FFC
0 - 1
ITA
21%
22%
56%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
FFC
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |