Itabaiana vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 2
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOR
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |