Itabaiana vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
AMA
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |