Itabaiana vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
OSE
69%
21%
11%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 2
CDC
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
ITA
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
EST
4 - 3
CDC
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EST
2 - 3
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
OSE
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |