Itabaiana vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
67.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ABC
4 - 1
ITA
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 1
ABC
13%
21%
66%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
CEA
10%
20%
70%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 2
ITA
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAH
0 - 3
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 1
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
BAH
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 2
ITA
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |