Itabaiana vs Coritiba SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
29%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COR
1 - 3
ITA
24%
24%
51%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
CON
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BOQ
1 - 0
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 2
EST
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
5 - 1
COR
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
COR
1 - 4
BOQ
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |