Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
ITA
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 2
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CON
3 - 0
AMP
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
1 - 1
CON
6%
13%
80%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
FOR
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |