Sergipano Etapas Finales Final
Global 1-2
Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 3
ITA
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
AFP
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CON
4 - 2
AFP
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
AMA
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |