Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
39%
25%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
SOC
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 6
CON
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
39%
27%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
AMA
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |