Itabaiana vs Canindé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 3
ITA
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 0
ITA
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
COR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
OSE
56%
25%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SOC
3 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Canindé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 3
ITA
37%
25%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
CDC
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 0
SOC
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CDC
1 - 1
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
OSE
2 - 0
CDC
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |