Itabaiana vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
SDJ
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 2
SAN
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 2
FLO
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 2
BOC
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 2
AMP
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 1
BOC
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 0
LAG
33%
26%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |