Itabaiana vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 3
ITA
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
JEC
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
SOC
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 0
BOC
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
CON
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |