Itabaiana vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
29%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BOQ
1 - 0
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
3 - 1
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 1
BOQ
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EST
4 - 2
BOC
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |