Itabaiana vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 5
ITA
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 0
ITA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 5
ITA
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 2
AFP
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |