Sergipano Final
Global 2-3
Itabaiana vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 4
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 0
SOC
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 1
CDC
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 3
ITA
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
AMA
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
EST
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +4 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
OSE
34%
25%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |