Itabaiana vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
BAH
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
2 - 2
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
RFC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
ITA
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 1
RFC
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 3
ASA
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |